UFC Fight Night 202 predictions: Who’s taking short-notice Bobby Green over Islam Makhachev?

Makhachev
vs.
Green
Cirkunov
vs.
Turman
Cachoeira
vs.
Kim
Alvarez
vs.
Tsarukyan
Petrosyan
vs.
Rodrigues
MMA Junkie readers’
consensus picks
22-13
makhachev2022
Makhachev
(69%)
cirkunov2022
Cirkunov
(72%)
kim2022
Kim
(69%)
tsarukyan2022
Tsarukyan
(66%)
rodrigues2022
Rodrigues
(63%)
John Morgan
@MMAjunkieJohn
24-11
trophy copy 2021 Champion
makhachev2022
Makhachev
cirkunov2022
Cirkunov
kim2022
Kim
tsarukyan2022
Tsarukyan
rodrigues2022
Rodrigues
Matt Erickson
@MMAjunkieMatt
23-12
makhachev2022
Makhachev
cirkunov2022
Cirkunov
cachoeira2022
Cachoeira
tsarukyan2022
Tsarukyan
petrosyan2022
Petrosyan
George Garcia
@MMAjunkieGeorge
23-12
green2022
Green
cirkunov2022
Cirkunov
kim2022
Kim
tsarukyan2022
Tsarukyan
rodrigues2022
Rodrigues
Farah Hannoun
@Farah_Hannoun
22-13
makhachev2022
Makhachev
cirkunov2022
Cirkunov
kim2022
Kim
tsarukyan2022
Tsarukyan
petrosyan2022
Petrosyan
Mike Bohn
@MikeBohnMMA
21-14
trophy copy 2014 Champion
makhachev2022
Makhachev
cirkunov2022
Cirkunov
kim2022
Kim
tsarukyan2022
Tsarukyan
rodrigues2022
Rodrigues
Simon Samano
@SJSamano
21-14
makhachev2022
Makhachev
cirkunov2022
Cirkunov
kim2022
Kim
tsarukyan2022
Tsarukyan
rodrigues2022
Rodrigues
Ken Hathaway
@kenshathaway
21-14
trophy copy 2018 Champion
makhachev2022
Makhachev
turman2019
Turman
cachoeira2022
Cachoeira
tsarukyan2022
Tsarukyan
rodrigues2022
Rodrigues
Nolan King
@mma_kings
20-15
makhachev2022
Makhachev
cirkunov2022
Cirkunov
kim2022
Kim
tsarukyan2022
Tsarukyan
petrosyan2022
Petrosyan
Matthew Wells
@MrMWells
19-16
makhachev2022
Makhachev
cirkunov2022
Cirkunov
kim2022
Kim
alvarez2022
Alvarez
rodrigues2022
Rodrigues
Brian Garcia
@thegoze
19-16
trophy copy 2017 Champion
makhachev2022
Makhachev
cirkunov2022
Cirkunov
cachoeira2022
Cachoeira
tsarukyan2022
Tsarukyan
rodrigues2022
Rodrigues
Danny Segura
@dannyseguratv
19-16
makhachev2022
Makhachev
cirkunov2022
Cirkunov
kim2022
Kim
alvarez2022
Alvarez
rodrigues2022
Rodrigues
Abbey Subhan
@kammakaze
18-17
makhachev2022
Makhachev
cirkunov2022
Cirkunov
kim2022
Kim
tsarukyan2022
Tsarukyan
petrosyan2022
Petrosyan

The UFC stays in its Las Vegas home base this week with a pair of lightweight contenders atop the card.

UFC Fight Night 202 takes place Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. The card streams on ESPN+.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

In the main event, Islam Makhachev (21-1 MMA, 10-1 UFC) takes on short-notice replacement Bobby Green (29-12-1 MMA, 10-7-1 UFC). They fight at lightweight normally, but will be at a 160-pound catchweight due to Green’s lack of time to cut. He fought just two weeks ago at UFC 271. Makhachev is a massive -1000 favorite at Tipico; the comeback on Green is +550. Our 12 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers, not surprisingly, have Makhachev with a big 11-1 edge.

In the co-feature, Misha Cirkunov (15-7 MMA, 6-5 UFC) takes on Wellington Turman (17-5 MMA, 2-3 UFC) at middleweight. Cirkunov is just a -125 favorite, but he’s got a huge 11-1 lead in the picks from our staff members.

Also on the main card, Priscila Cachoeira (10-4 MMA, 2-4 UFC) meets Ji Yeon Kim (9-4-2 MMA, 3-4 UFC) in a women’s flyweight bout. Kim is a -175 favorite at the betting window, and she’s got a sizable 9-3 lead from our pickers.

The second biggest favorite on the main card is Arman Tsarukyan (17-2 MMA, 4-1 UFC), who is -230 for his lightweight fight against Joel Alvarez (19-2 MMA, 4-1 UFC). Tsarukyan has a 10-2 lead in the picks.

Our most contentious fight from a picks standpoint opens the main card. Armen Petrosyan (6-1 MMA, 0-0 UFC) is a +135 underdog against Gregory Rodrigues (11-3 MMA, 2-0 UFC), who has an 8-4 lead in the picks as a -170 favorite.

In the MMA Junkie reader consensus picks, Makhachev (69 percent), Cirkunov (72 percent), Kim (69 percent), Tsarukyan (66 percent) and Rodrigues (63 percent) are the choices.

Check out all the picks above.

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Author: Matt Erickson

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